Wednesday, November 10, 2010

JTPE, Mutiara dalam got....

JTPE, Mutiara dalam got....

Embah sudah lihat sebagian saham yg anda kirim dan MENEMUKAN JTPE sebagai
MUTIARA didalam GOT....

Price = 590
CLOP = 6,4
PER = 6
ROE = 33%
DER 1,03
Growth = 236%

Target Keuntungan Investasi: 50% sampe 100%
Timeframe: Sampai pengumuman Lap Keuangan JTPE Final 2010.

Data JTPE:

JTPE Date : 09-11-10
Financial Performance (in billion Rp)
www.investdata.net

2010 2009| 2008|
09-11-10 ....Q3 ....Q2 ....Q1|....Q4 ....Q3 ....Q2 ....Q1|....Q4|
---------- ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------
Sales 304 187 39 270 160 99 19 159
COGS 234 148 28 199 123 79 13 126
Gross Marg 70 39 11 71 37 19 5 33
GM (%) 23 20 28 26 23 19 30 20
Opr Profit 36 21 3| 37 12 8 2| 13
OP (%) 12 11 8 13 7 8 10 8
Net Profit 25 14 1| 25 7 5 1| 8
NP (%) 8 7 4 9 4 5 5 5
---------- ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------
Stk Price 590 510 510 510| 510 510 510 480| 270
Book Value 293 292 262| 252 212 206 187| 185
PBV 2,01 1,74 1,74 1,94| 2,02 2,40 2,46 2,56| 1,45
DER 1,03 1,38 1,24| 0,82 1,35 1,79 0,89| 0,76
---------- ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------
ROE (%) 33 28 7| 28 13 14 6| 12
ROE (Qtr) 44 49 7 80 13 22 6 49
ROA (%) 16 11 3| 15 5 5 3| 7
Opr prof/share 104 60 9| 107 36 24 5| 39
EPS 73 41 4| 72 21 14 3| 22
EPS (Qtr) 32 36 4| 50 7 11 3| 22
EPS (Annu) 98 82 19| 72 29 29 12| 22
PER 6,00 5,19 6,16 25,93| 7,03 17,43 17,07 37,50| 11,78
PER (Qtr) 4,55 3,94 3,50 25,93| 2,52 18,19 10,87 37,50| 2,94
---------- ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------
COP (year) 4,24 3,66 4,21 13,63 4,76 10,62 10,43 20,50 6,83
CLOP(year) 6,41 5,83 7,53 22,30 6,69 16,58 18,02 27,66 10,42
CLOP(Qtr) 5,09 4,64 4,45 22,30 2,52 17,19 11,85 27,66 2,60
---------- ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------
Sales Growth(%) 89 88 101 69
Op.Prof Growth(%) 189 148 59 170
Net.Prof/EPS Grow 236 177 53 216
PEG (<1) 0,02 0,03 0,48| 0,03
---------- ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------
Sales(Qtr) 116 148 39 110 61 80 19 159
COGS (Qtr) 85 120 28 75 43 66 13 126
Gross Marg(Qtr) 31 27 11 34 17 13 5 33
GM (%) 26 18 28 31 28 17 30 20
OP.PR (Qtr) 15 17 3 24 4 6 2 13
OP % 13 12 8 22 6 8 10 8
NET.PR (Qtr) 11 12 1 17 2 4 1 8
NP % 9 8 4 16 4 5 5 5
---------- ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------
Asset 208 243 205| 160 174 202 124| 114
Liability 105 140 113| 72 100 129 58| 49
Equity 102 102 91| 88 74 72 65| 65
Capitalis. 206 178 178 178| 178 178 178 168| 94
Share(mil) 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350
---------- ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------

See ERROR and OMISSION
- http://www.investdata.net/QQCJTPE.TXT

Comparison dengan Sector TRADE:

Date: 09-11-10 FINANCIAL RATIO COMPARISON
Sector: TRADING
Ranked by: ROE
www.investdata.net

|-- ---- ------- --- --- --- ---- ---- --- ---------- ===--------- ===------ --------- ----------- ----------- ----- ------ --------
| | | |(1) (2) (3)| (4) (5)|(6)| (7) | (10) | (8) | (9) |(11)(12)(13|(14)(15)(16| (17)| (18) | MARKET|
| | | SALES |GRS OPR NET| |ROA| ROE | PER | COP | CLOP |YoY GROWTH |Q3/Q2 GROWT| | LAST | CAP. |
|NO|STOC|bio Rp |MAR PRF PRF| PBV DER| | |*LAST*| | | | OPR NET| OPR NET| PEG |PRICE |bio Rp |
| | |mio USD| % % % | | | Q2 Q3|QUARTR|TDY Q3 Q2|TDY Q3 Q2|TDY Q3 Q2|SAL PRF PRF|SAL PRF PRF| | |mio Usd|
|-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === ---****** --- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- *** *** =====|======|=======|
| 1 JTPE 304| 23 12 8| 2,0| 1,0| 16| 28 33|44 4| 6| 5 6| 4| 3 4| 6| 5 7| 89 189|236|-21 -14|-11| 0,03| 590| 206|
| 2 UNTR 27.813| 18 14 10| 5,3| 0,7| 14| 25 25|27 19|21| 17 16|15| 13 11|18| 15 14| 30 -1| -0| 3 -5| 9|**,**|25.100| 83.504|
| 3 AKRA 8.537| 7 3 2| 2,2| 2,0| 4| 12 12|14 15|17| 15 14|12| 11 9|23| 22 20| 35 -24| 17| 18 22| 19| 0,99| 1.670| 5.219|
|-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === --- ====== -- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- --- === =====|======|=======|

1. GRS MRG: Gross Margin to Sales (in %)
2. OPR PRF: Operating Profit to Sales (in %)
3. NET PRF: Net Profit to Sales (in %)
4. PBV: Stock Price to Book value
5. DER: Debt Equity Ratio
6. ROA: Return On Asset (in %)
7. ROE: Return On Equity (in %)
QTR: ROE Quartely, using Most Recent Quarter's Net Profit
8. COP: Capitalisation to Operating Profit (in years)
9. CLOP: Capitalisation + Liability to Operating profit (in years)
10. PER: Price Earning Ratio
QTR: PER using Most Recent Quarter's Net Profit
11. Sales Growth in % (Year on Year comparison)
12. Operating Profit Growth in % (YOY comparison)
13. Net Profit Growth in % - (YOY comparison)
14. Sales Growth in % - (Most Recent Quarter comparison)
15. Operating Profit Growth in % - (MRQ comparison)
16. Net Profit Growth in % - (MRQ comparison)
17. PEG = PER / Net Profit Growth

- http://www.investdata.net/QZA3TRA6.TXT

Semut semut mulai datang, jangan beli banyak2 yah, seorang 10 lot dah seperti terlihat dilayar....

Tiup terompet perang buat para semut... hehehe...

Ini sih bukan cuman Mutiara tapi Black Pearl....

Saban gajian, sisihin sebagian buat beli saham JTPE...

Analisa Fundamental akan menghasilkan target harga saham, kita Invest diharga Murah dan jual diharga Mahal.

Trading dilakukan atas dasar MOMENTUM, biar sudah mahal, kalo Momentumnya ada, orang akan trading.

Pada saat suatu Target dipublish atau diKomporin, akan timbul Momentum trading, momentum trading ini hanya SESAAT.

Jadi secara teknis, anda bisa melakukan Invest, tapi anda juga bisa Trading saat MOMENTUM trading MUNCUL..

Embah masih punya AMAG tadi siang... hehehe...

Tapi buat Invest dengan saham MUTIARA dalam GOT, sepertinya yang MANTAP adalah KKGI dan JTPE, tapi kita masih nyari yg lain..

Date: 09-11-10 FINANCIAL RATIO COMPARISON
Sector: MUTIARA dlm GOT
Ranked by: ROE
www.investdata.net

|-- ---- ------- --- --- --- ---- ---- --- ---------- ===--------- ===------ --------- ----------- ----------- ----- ------ --------
| | | |(1) (2) (3)| (4) (5)|(6)| (7) | (10) | (8) | (9) |(11)(12)(13|(14)(15)(16| (17)| (18) | MARKET|
| | | SALES |GRS OPR NET| |ROA| ROE | PER | COP | CLOP |YoY GROWTH |Q3/Q2 GROWT| | LAST | CAP. |
|NO|STOC|bio Rp |MAR PRF PRF| PBV DER| | |*LAST*| | | | OPR NET| OPR NET| PEG |PRICE |bio Rp |
| | |mio USD| % % % | | | Q2 Q3|QUARTR|TDY Q3 Q2|TDY Q3 Q2|TDY Q3 Q2|SAL PRF PRF|SAL PRF PRF| | |mio Usd|
|-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === ---****** --- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- *** *** =====|======|=======|
| 1 KKGI 647| 49 23 18| 6,8| 0,6| 36| 28 60|** 4|11| 6 4| 8| 4 4| 9| 5 6|116 259|265|299 433|356| 0,04| 1.750| 1.750|
| 2 JTPE 304| 23 12 8| 2,0| 1,0| 16| 28 33|44 4| 6| 5 6| 4| 3 4| 6| 5 7| 89 189|236|-21 -14|-11| 0,03| 590| 206|
|-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === --- ====== -- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- --- === =====|======|=======|

1. GRS MRG: Gross Margin to Sales (in %)
2. OPR PRF: Operating Profit to Sales (in %)
3. NET PRF: Net Profit to Sales (in %)
4. PBV: Stock Price to Book value
5. DER: Debt Equity Ratio
6. ROA: Return On Asset (in %)
7. ROE: Return On Equity (in %)
QTR: ROE Quartely, using Most Recent Quarter's Net Profit
8. COP: Capitalisation to Operating Profit (in years)
9. CLOP: Capitalisation + Liability to Operating profit (in years)
10. PER: Price Earning Ratio
QTR: PER using Most Recent Quarter's Net Profit
11. Sales Growth in % (Year on Year comparison)
12. Operating Profit Growth in % (YOY comparison)
13. Net Profit Growth in % - (YOY comparison)
14. Sales Growth in % - (Most Recent Quarter comparison)
15. Operating Profit Growth in % - (MRQ comparison)
16. Net Profit Growth in % - (MRQ comparison)
17. PEG = PER / Net Profit Growth

- http://www.investdata.net/QZA3HOT6.TXT

Kemarin JTPE naek +7%, sesudah tidur setahun....

Tadi malam ada yg ngirim 40 saham yg CLOPnya rendah kemilis.
Berdasarkan daftar itu, Embah analisa lagi tadi siang karena internet embah mati tadi malam (TAL KRAS ?) dan dapet JTPE dan tadi siang beli JTPE di 590. Jadi JTPE belum naik karena Market makernya masih JAGAIN harganya.

JTPE for sure for INVEST, jadi kalo digebug ama MM, jangan panik, BELI lagi beberapa point dibawahnya karena ini barang bagus, susah cari saham bagus begini saat ini...

Data VRNA vs CFIN vs WOMF:
- CLOP: 11,8 vs 6,4 vs 16,8
- PER: 4,1 vs 5,6 VS 6,7
- ROE: 4 vs 14 vs 38
- DER: 0,5 vs 0,4 vx 6,3
- GROWTH: 72% vs 29% vs 297%

Note:
- WOMF is a Good Growth stock tapi DER nya musti distrukturisasi

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