Saturday, July 30, 2011

AUTO H2/2011 Result , Performance Deteroriate + Stock Split (Defense Mechanism)

AUTO                       Date : 29-07-11
               Financial Performance (in billion Rp)
                          www.investdata.net
             
                           2011                        2010|         2009|
         29-07-11 ....Q2 ....Q1|....Q4 ....Q3 ....Q2 ....Q1|....Q4 ....Q3|
---------- ------ ====== ------|------ ------ ====== ------|------ ------
Sales              3.562  1.818  6.255  4.615  3.046  1.508  5.265  3.771
COGS               2.961  1.499  5.102  3.782  2.496  1.245  4.317  3.102
Gross Marg           601    319  1.152    832    549    262    948    668
GM (%)                16     17     18     18     18     17     18     17
Opr Profit           214    102|   573    406    265    130|   419    331
OP (%)                 6      5      9      8      8      8      7      8
Net Profit           480    259| 1.141    831    568    277|   768    547
NP (%)                13     14     18     18     18     18     14     14
---------- ------ ====== ------|------ ------ ====== ------|------ ------
Stk Price   3.925  3.250 13.800|13.950 17.900 13.050  7.100| 5.750  4.825
Book Value         1.104  5.346| 5.006  4.759  4.422  4.515| 4.160  3.971
PBV          3,55   2,94   2,58|  2,79   3,76   2,95   1,57|  1,38   1,22
DER                 0,51   0,49|  0,45   0,46   0,46   0,44|  0,45   0,46
---------- ------ ====== ------|------ ------ ====== ------|------ ------
ROE (%)               22     25|    29     30     33     31|    23     23
ROE (Qtr)             20     25     32     28     34     31     27     21
ROA (%)               14     16|    20     20     22     22|    16     16
Opr prof/share        55    132|   743    526    344    169|   544    430
EPS                  124    335| 1.479  1.078    737    360|   996    709
EPS (Qtr)             57    335|   400    341    376    360|   286    214
EPS (Annu)           249  1.343| 1.479  1.438  1.474  1.441|   996    946
PER         15,76  13,05  10,27|  9,43  12,44   8,85   4,92|  5,77   5,10
PER (Qtr)   17,10  14,16  10,27|  8,70  13,10   8,66   4,92|  5,02   5,62
---------- ------ ====== ------|------ ------ ====== ------|------ ------
COP (year)  35,30  29,23  26,03  18,77  25,48  18,93  10,48  10,56   8,41
CLOP(year)  40,33  34,26  31,01  21,78  28,57  21,87  13,40  13,98  11,59
CLOP(Qtr)   38,54  32,74  31,01  18,71  27,54  21,51  13,40  16,66  64,15
---------- ------ ====== ------|------ ------ ====== ------|------ ------
Sales Growth(%)       16     20     18     22
Op.Prof Growth(%)    -19    -21     36     22
Net.Prof/EPS Grow    -15     -6     48     51
PEG (<1)           -0,84  -1,51|  0,19   0,24
---------- ------ ====== ------|------ ------ ====== ------|------ ------
Sales(Qtr)         1.743  1.818  1.640  1.569  1.537  1.508  1.493  1.075
COGS (Qtr)         1.461  1.499  1.320  1.285  1.250  1.245  1.214    941
Gross Marg(Qtr)      282    319    319    283    287    262    279    133
GM (%)                16     17     19     18     18     17     18     12
OP.PR (Qtr)          112    102    166    140    135    130     88     19
OP %                   6      5     10      8      8      8      5      1
NET.PR (Qtr)         221    259    309    263    290    277    220    165
NP %                  12     14     18     16     18     18     14     15
---------- ------ ====== ------|------ ------ ====== ------|------ ------
Asset              6.416  6.157| 5.585  5.347  4.975  5.010| 4.644  4.471
Liability          2.157  2.034| 1.725  1.677  1.565  1.528| 1.436  1.408
Equity             4.259  4.123| 3.860  3.670  3.410  3.482| 3.208  3.062
Capitalis. 15.133 12.531 10.641|10.757 13.803 10.063  5.475| 4.434  3.720
Share(mil)         3.855    771    771    771    771    771    771    771
---------- ------ ====== ------|------ ------ ====== ------|------ ------
 
See ERROR and OMISSION


- http://www.investdata.net/QQFAUTO.TXT

Net profit kwartalan:
- Q2/2011 = 221 TURUN, jadi perlu Stock Split ... hehehe..
- Q1/2011 = 259
- Q4/2010 = 309 TOP
- Q3/2010 = 263
- Q2/2010 = 290
- Q1/2010 = 277
- Q4/2010 = 220
- Q3/2010 = 165 LOW

Note:
- Performance AUTO mencapai puncaknya dan mulai turun
- Ini cocok dengan teori: STOCK SPLIT artinya harga sudah
engga kuat naik

Ini Ranking growth AUTO:

Ada dipaling bawah dari 11 emiten, kalo MYOR dimasukin maka
MYOR ada dipaling bawah karena laba operasi turun dari 211 ke 153.

Date: 29-07-11                        FINANCIAL RATIO COMPARISON
                                          Sector: ALL STOCK
                               Ranked by: YoY Operating Profit Growth
                                          www.investdata.net 
 
|-- ---- ------- --- --- --- ---- ---- --- ---------- ===--------- ===------ --------- ----------- ----------- ----- ------ --------
|  |    |       |(1) (2) (3)| (4)  (5)|(6)|    (7)   |     (10)   |   (8)   |   (9)   |(11)(12)(13|(14)(15)(16| (17)| (18) | MARKET|
|  |    | SALES |GRS OPR NET|         |ROA|    ROE   |     PER    |   COP   |   CLOP  |YoY GROWTH |Q2/Q1 GROWT|     | LAST |  CAP. |
|NO|STOC|bio Rp |MAR PRF PRF| PBV  DER|   |      |*LAST*|         |         |         |    OPR NET|    OPR NET| PEG |PRICE |bio Rp |
|  |    |mio USD| %   %   % |         |   | Q1 Q2|QUARTR|TDY Q2 Q1|TDY Q2 Q1|TDY Q2 Q1|SAL PRF PRF|SAL PRF PRF|     |      |mio Usd|
|-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === ---****** --- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- *** *** =====|======|=======|
| 1 ADMG   2.574| 14  12   9| 2,2| 1,8| 11| 54  33|13 17| 6|  4  0| 5|  3  0| 9|  7  3| 35 564|449| -4 -65|-75| 0,01|   850|  3.314|
| 2 ENRG$    865| 39  31   4| 0,2| 1,1|  0|  1   1| 1 13|16| 13  9| 2|  1  1|13| 13 11| 59 358|***|  5  -1| 42|-0,11|   255|  1.137|
| 3 SGRO   1.711| 39  28  20| 2,9| 0,4| 21| 32  30|28 10| 9|  9  8| 7|  6  6| 8|  7  6|129 154|171| 25  -4|-11| 0,06| 3.650|  6.898|
| 4 ASRI     706| 55  47  40| 3,0| 0,9| 11| 26  23|21 14|12| 10  8|11|  8  6|14| 12 10| 78 153|133|-25 -15|-17| 0,10|   420|  7.502|
| 5 PTBA   5.119| 52  38  31| 7,0| 0,5| 29| 42  46|49 14|15| 14 15|12| 12 12|13| 13 13| 34  88| 77| 21   8| 11| 0,20|21.300| 49.078|
|-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === ---****** --- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- *** *** =====|======|=======|
| 6 AALI   5.296| 38  32  24| 4,8| 0,2| 27| 33  34|34 13|14| 14 13|10| 10  9|11| 11 10| 50  81| 98| -8 -11|  1| 0,14|23.500| 37.006|
| 7 INDS     575| 23  15  10| 2,2| 0,8| 11| 53  21|19 11|10|  8  2| 7|  6  1|10|  9  4| 19  77| 59|-12 -19|-22| 0,17| 5.700|  1.282|
| 8 CLPI     351| 11   8   5| 5,3| 1,6| 10| 27  28|29 18|18| 16  2|13| 11  2|18| 16  5| 41  69| 69|  5   1|  9| 0,27| 2.575|    788|
| 9 MAIN   1.271| 14   9   6| 5,4| 2,3| 13| 42  47|57  9|11| 10 14| 7|  7  9|11| 10 13| 40  50| 59| -4  52| 59| 0,19| 1.070|  1.813|
|10 BBNI   9.935| 61  38  27| 2,4| 6,6|  2| 14  16|17 14|15| 13 14|10|  9 10|40| 39 40|  1  49| 41|  9  17| 17| 0,37| 4.450| 82.988|
|-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === ---****** --- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- *** *** =====|======|=======|
|11 MAPI   2.657| 51   9   5| 4,7| 1,5|  7| 11  19|27 16|24| 14 36|14|  8 19|19| 13 25| 23  42| 57|  9 117|158| 0,42| 4.625|  7.677|
|12 BBRI  23.688| 71  33  28| 4,1| 8,1|  3| 32  32|34 12|12| 11 10|10| 10  9|32| 31 30| 22  40| 57|  5   2|  8| 0,22| 6.900|170.217|
|13 SMRA     938| 48  25  16| 3,8| 2,1|  4| 10  13|17 22|27| 24 32|18| 16 22|28| 26 34| 38  33| 52| 34  81| 66| 0,53| 1.280|  8.672|
|14 CPIN   8.781| 21  17  14| 8,7| 0,5| 32| 51  49|47 18|17| 13 12|14| 10 10|15| 11 10| 26  29| 32|  0 -10| -8| 0,54| 2.725| 44.684|
|15 ASII  76.264| 19  11  11| 4,2| 1,0| 12| 32  25|25 16|16| 14 13|16| 15 13|21| 19 17| 23  26| 33| -2  -5| -0| 0,50|70.500|285.409|
|-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === ---****** --- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- *** *** =====|======|=======|
|16 UNTR  25.618| 17  13   9| 4,1| 0,6| 12| 29  20|20 20|20| 18 13|15| 13 10|17| 16 12| 41  26| 34|  2  -3| -4| 0,58|27.300|101.832|
|17 AKRA   9.061|  5   2  21| 2,9| 1,0| 48|203 100|14 19| 2|  2  0|22| 15 11|30| 23 20| 73  25|***|  8  10|-91| 0,00| 3.050| 11.655|
|18 GGRM  19.845| 24  15  11| 4,4| 0,4| 14| 19  20|21 20|21| 20 18|15| 15 13|16| 16 14| 10  25| 28|  9   4|  8| 0,74|50.900| 97.936|
|19 SMCB   3.539| 35  20  12| 2,2| 0,5|  8| 11  12|13 16|17| 18 18|10| 11 11|13| 14 14| 24  22| 23| 10  19| 18| 0,74| 2.075| 15.900|
|20 UNVR  11.464| 51  24  18|34,0| 2,3| 35| 79 118|** 27|28| 27 29|21| 20 21|23| 22 22| 15  16| 16|  2   5|  7| 1,71|15.600|119.028|
|-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === ---****** --- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- *** *** =====|======|=======|
|21 INCO$    715| 48  46  33| 2,6| 0,3| 19| 24  26|28  9| 9| 10 11| 6|  7  8| 7|  8  9| 15  13|  8| 21   6| 12| 1,10| 4.250|  4.640|
|22 JSMR   2.359| 52  52  31| 3,1| 1,4|  7| 18  17|17 17|17| 16 15|11| 10  9|15| 14 14| 12  12| 16|  4   4|  1| 1,12| 3.975| 27.030|
|23 SMGR   7.605| 45  29  24| 4,4| 0,4| 20| 27  29|31 13|14| 15 15|12| 12 12|13| 13 13| 14  10| 15| 14  14| 15| 0,99| 9.450| 56.052|
|24 ASGR     648| 33   9   8| 3,0| 0,6| 13| 17  21|26 11|13| 12 10|11| 10  8|14| 12 11| 12   7| 20|  6  42| 46| 0,66| 1.100|  1.483|
|25 KLBF   4.948| 52  17  13| 5,5| 0,3| 17| 22  23|24 22|24| 23 25|18| 18 19|19| 19 20|  5   4| 17| 10  10| 13| 1,34| 3.475| 32.578|
|-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === ---****** --- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- *** *** =====|======|=======|
|26 INTP   6.331| 47  33  27| 4,1| 0,2| 20| 24  24|24 16|16| 18 17|13| 14 14|14| 15 14| 18   2|  5| 15  -1| -0| 3,02|15.450| 56.875|
|27 AMFG   1.166| 28  17  11| 1,9| 0,2| 10| 16  13| 9 20|15| 12  7| 9|  8  5|10|  9  6|  2   2|  3| -5 -18|-40| 4,56| 9.000|  3.906|
|28 TLKM  34.457| 31  31  17| 2,6| 0,8| 11| 23  21|22 11|12| 12 12| 6|  6  6| 8|  8  9|  2  -3| -1|  6  10| 10|-7,94| 7.350|144.331|
|29 ARNA     468| 32  16  10| 1,5| 0,9| 11| 22  23|23  6| 6|  6  5| 4|  4  3| 7|  6  6| 13  -8| 13|  0   6|  4| 0,48|   365|    669|
|30 AUTO   3.562| 16   6  13| 3,5| 0,5| 14| 25  22|20 17|15| 13 10|35| 29 26|40| 34 31| 16 -19|-15| -4   9|-14|-1,01| 3.925| 15.133|
|-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === --- ====== -- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- --- === =====|======|=======|
 
1. GRS MRG: Gross Margin to Sales (in %)
2. OPR PRF: Operating Profit to Sales (in %)
3. NET PRF: Net Profit to Sales (in %)
4. PBV: Stock Price to Book value
5. DER: Debt Equity Ratio
6. ROA: Return On Asset (in %)
7. ROE: Return On Equity (in %)
         QTR: ROE Quartely, using Most Recent Quarter's Net Profit
8. COP: Capitalisation to Operating Profit (in years)
9. CLOP: Capitalisation + Liability to Operating profit (in years)
10. PER: Price Earning Ratio
         QTR: PER using Most Recent Quarter's Net Profit
11. Sales Growth in % (Year on Year comparison)
12. Operating Profit Growth in % (YOY comparison)
13. Net Profit Growth in % - (YOY comparison)
14. Sales Growth in % - (Most Recent Quarter comparison)
15. Operating Profit Growth in % - (MRQ comparison)
16. Net Profit Growth in % - (MRQ comparison)
17. PEG = PER / Net Profit Growth

- http://www.investdata.net/QZB2ALL2.TXT

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