Monday, April 2, 2012

SSIA Final Result 2011

                               SSIA                       Date : 02-04-12
               Financial Performance (in billion Rp)
                          www.investdata.net
             
                                         2011|                       2010|
         02-04-12 ....Q4 ....Q3 ....Q2 ....Q1|....Q4 ....Q3 ....Q2 ....Q1|
---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------
Sales              2.878  2.171  1.542    976  1.690  1.177    749    325
COGS               2.096  1.593  1.141    717  1.211    859    551    243
Gross Marg           782    577    400    259    478    318    197     82
GM (%)                27     26     25     26     28     27     26     25
Opr Profit           453    333    239    177|   160     99     62     19
OP (%)                15     15     15     18      9      8      8      6
Net Profit           252    183    129    117|   114     41     14     -4
NP (%)                 8      8      8     12      6      3      1     -1
---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------
Stk Price   1.020    720    360  1.360  1.100|   930    495    290    355
Book Value           233    223    849    838|   738    676    657    640
PBV          4,36   3,08   1,61   1,60   1,31|  1,26   0,73   0,44   0,55
DER                 1,67   1,61   1,63   1,94|  1,74   1,88   1,98   2,00
---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------
ROE (%)               22     23     25     47|    13      6      3     -2
ROE (Qtr)             25     20      4     47     33     13      9     -2
ROA (%)                8      8      9     16|     4      2      1     -0
Opr prof/share        96     70    203    150|   136     84     52     16
EPS                   53     38    110     99|    97     35     12     -3
EPS (Qtr)             14     11     10     99|    62     22     16     -3
EPS (Annu)            53     51    220    399|    97     47     25    -14
PER         19,04  13,44   6,94   6,16   2,75|  9,52  10,49  11,47 -24,66
PER (Qtr)   17,39  12,28   7,94  32,52   2,75|  3,73   5,44   4,47 -24,66
---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------
COP (year)  10,59   7,48   3,81   3,34   1,82   6,80   4,41   2,75   5,34
CLOP(year)  14,65  11,54   7,64   6,75   4,51  16,21  15,74  15,11  24,67
CLOP(Qtr)          10,89   9,04  13,07   4,51  10,55  14,04  11,03  24,67
---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------
Sales Growth(%)       70     84    105    200
Op.Prof Growth(%)    181    236    285    808
Net.Prof/EPS Grow    119    339    772 -2.874
PEG (<1)            0,11   0,02   0,01  -0,00
---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------
Sales(Qtr)           707    629    565    976    512    428    424    325
COGS (Qtr)           502    452    423    717    351    307    308    243
Gross Marg(Qtr)      204    176    141    259    160    120    115     82
GM (%)                28     28     25     26     31     28     27     25
OP.PR (Qtr)          119     93     61    177     61     37     42     19
OP %                  16     14     10     18     12      8     10      6
NET.PR (Qtr)          68     53     12    117     73     26     19     -4
NP %                   9      8      2     12     14      6      4     -1
---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------
Asset              2.937  2.750  2.630  2.896| 2.382  2.292  2.306  2.263
Liability          1.837  1.697  1.631  1.910| 1.513  1.496  1.533  1.509
Equity             1.099  1.052    998    986|   869    795    772    753
Capitalis.  4.799  3.387  1.693  1.599  1.293| 1.093    582    341    417
Share(mil)         4.705  4.705  1.176  1.176  1.176  1.176  1.176  1.176
---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------
 
See ERROR and OMISSION

- http://www.investdata.net/QQHSSIA.TXT

Property Sector:
Date: 02-04-12                     FINANCIAL RATIO COMPARISON 2011
                                          Sector: PROPERTY
                                 Ranked by: Operating Profit Growth
                                          www.investdata.net 
 
|-- ---- ------- --- --- --- ---- ---- --- ---------- ===--------- ===------ --------- ----------- ----------- ----- ------ --------
|  |    |       |(1) (2) (3)| (4)  (5)|(6)|    (7)   |     (10)   |   (8)   |   (9)   |(11)(12)(13|(14)(15)(16| (17)| (18) | MARKET|
|  |    | SALES |GRS OPR NET|         |ROA|    ROE   |     PER    |   COP   |   CLOP  |YoY GROWTH |Q4/Q3 GROWT|     | LAST |  CAP. |
|NO|STOC|bio Rp |MAR PRF PRF| PBV  DER|   |      |*LAST*|         |         |         |    OPR NET|    OPR NET| PEG |PRICE |bio Rp |
|  |    |mio USD| %   %   % |         |   | Q3 Q4|QUARTR|TDY Q4 Q3|TDY Q4 Q3|TDY Q4 Q3|SAL PRF PRF|SAL PRF PRF|     |      |mio Usd|
|-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === ---****** --- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- --- === =====|======|=======|
| 1 SSIA   2.878| 27  15   8| 4,3| 1,6|  8| 23  22|25 17|19| 13  6|10|  7  3|14| 11  7| 70 181|119| 12  27| 29| 0,16| 1.020|  4.799|
| 2 LPCK     902| 43  33  28| 2,1| 1,4| 12| 27  31|53  4| 6|  4  5| 5|  4  4| 9|  8  8|123 168|294| 30 105|121| 0,02| 2.550|  1.774|
| 3 CTRS     804| 49  28  20| 1,7| 1,1|  4| 12   9| 2 66|17|  8  8|12|  5  7|20| 13 12| 35 120| 88|-29 -44|-81| 0,20| 1.470|  2.908|
| 4 ASRI   1.381| 58  50  43| 3,9| 1,1| 10| 21  21|27 14|18| 13 12|15| 11 10|20| 16 14| 74 108|107| 12  30| 50| 0,17|   610| 10.896|
| 5 SMRA   2.359| 44  23  16| 4,7| 2,2|  4| 14  15|21 21|29| 21 19|20| 15 13|30| 25 23| 38  41| 67| 19  22| 30| 0,44| 1.700| 11.684|
|-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === --- ====== -- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- --- === =====|======|=======|
 
1. GRS MRG: Gross Margin to Sales (in %)
2. OPR PRF: Operating Profit to Sales (in %)
3. NET PRF: Net Profit to Sales (in %)
4. PBV: Stock Price to Book value
5. DER: Debt Equity Ratio
6. ROA: Return On Asset (in %)
7. ROE: Return On Equity (in %)
         QTR: ROE Quartely, using Most Recent Quarter's Net Profit
8. COP: Capitalisation to Operating Profit (in years)
9. CLOP: Capitalisation + Liability to Operating profit (in years)
10. PER: Price Earning Ratio
         QTR: PER using Most Recent Quarter's Net Profit
11. Sales Growth in % (Year on Year comparison)
12. Operating Profit Growth in % (YOY comparison)
13. Net Profit Growth in % - (YOY comparison)
14. Sales Growth in % - (Most Recent Quarter comparison)
15. Operating Profit Growth in % - (MRQ comparison)
16. Net Profit Growth in % - (MRQ comparison)
17. PEG = PER / Net Profit Growth

- http://www.investdata.net/QZB4PRO2.TXT

Note:
- PER LPCK paling murah = 6 vs PER SMRA paling mahal = 29
- PBV CTRS paling kecil = 1,7 VS PBV SSIA=4,3, ASRI=3,9, SMRA=4,7 tapi ROE CTRS paling kecil = 9%
- ASRI paling TOP dari segi Profit margin dan Growth
- Net profit margin SSIA paling kecil = 8% vs ASRI = 43%

Kalo PER sudah tinggi, tapi masih naik artinya PROYEKSI future EPS bagus...

PER = Price/EPS sekarang say = 40

Kalo Future EPS = 2x EPS sekarang maka:

- Future PER = Price / EPS future = Price / ( 2 x EPS sekarang)
= 1/2 x Price / EPS sekarang = 1/2 x 40 = 20

Jadi PER = 40 sama dengan PER = 20 tahun depan jika Laba naik 100%.

Jadi yang PALING PENTING kalo cari saham bagus adalah estimasi FUTURE GROWTHnya, jadi Investment = kemampuan melihat VISI KEDEPAN...

No comments:

Post a Comment