SSIA Date : 02-04-12 Financial Performance (in billion Rp) www.investdata.net 2011| 2010| 02-04-12 ....Q4 ....Q3 ....Q2 ....Q1|....Q4 ....Q3 ....Q2 ....Q1| ---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ Sales 2.878 2.171 1.542 976 1.690 1.177 749 325 COGS 2.096 1.593 1.141 717 1.211 859 551 243 Gross Marg 782 577 400 259 478 318 197 82 GM (%) 27 26 25 26 28 27 26 25 Opr Profit 453 333 239 177| 160 99 62 19 OP (%) 15 15 15 18 9 8 8 6 Net Profit 252 183 129 117| 114 41 14 -4 NP (%) 8 8 8 12 6 3 1 -1 ---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ Stk Price 1.020 720 360 1.360 1.100| 930 495 290 355 Book Value 233 223 849 838| 738 676 657 640 PBV 4,36 3,08 1,61 1,60 1,31| 1,26 0,73 0,44 0,55 DER 1,67 1,61 1,63 1,94| 1,74 1,88 1,98 2,00 ---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ROE (%) 22 23 25 47| 13 6 3 -2 ROE (Qtr) 25 20 4 47 33 13 9 -2 ROA (%) 8 8 9 16| 4 2 1 -0 Opr prof/share 96 70 203 150| 136 84 52 16 EPS 53 38 110 99| 97 35 12 -3 EPS (Qtr) 14 11 10 99| 62 22 16 -3 EPS (Annu) 53 51 220 399| 97 47 25 -14 PER 19,04 13,44 6,94 6,16 2,75| 9,52 10,49 11,47 -24,66 PER (Qtr) 17,39 12,28 7,94 32,52 2,75| 3,73 5,44 4,47 -24,66 ---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ COP (year) 10,59 7,48 3,81 3,34 1,82 6,80 4,41 2,75 5,34 CLOP(year) 14,65 11,54 7,64 6,75 4,51 16,21 15,74 15,11 24,67 CLOP(Qtr) 10,89 9,04 13,07 4,51 10,55 14,04 11,03 24,67 ---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ Sales Growth(%) 70 84 105 200 Op.Prof Growth(%) 181 236 285 808 Net.Prof/EPS Grow 119 339 772 -2.874 PEG (<1) 0,11 0,02 0,01 -0,00 ---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ Sales(Qtr) 707 629 565 976 512 428 424 325 COGS (Qtr) 502 452 423 717 351 307 308 243 Gross Marg(Qtr) 204 176 141 259 160 120 115 82 GM (%) 28 28 25 26 31 28 27 25 OP.PR (Qtr) 119 93 61 177 61 37 42 19 OP % 16 14 10 18 12 8 10 6 NET.PR (Qtr) 68 53 12 117 73 26 19 -4 NP % 9 8 2 12 14 6 4 -1 ---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ Asset 2.937 2.750 2.630 2.896| 2.382 2.292 2.306 2.263 Liability 1.837 1.697 1.631 1.910| 1.513 1.496 1.533 1.509 Equity 1.099 1.052 998 986| 869 795 772 753 Capitalis. 4.799 3.387 1.693 1.599 1.293| 1.093 582 341 417 Share(mil) 4.705 4.705 1.176 1.176 1.176 1.176 1.176 1.176 ---------- ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ ====== ------ ------ ------ See ERROR and OMISSION
- http://www.investdata.net/QQHSSIA.TXT
Property Sector:
Date: 02-04-12 FINANCIAL RATIO COMPARISON 2011 Sector: PROPERTY Ranked by: Operating Profit Growth www.investdata.net |-- ---- ------- --- --- --- ---- ---- --- ---------- ===--------- ===------ --------- ----------- ----------- ----- ------ -------- | | | |(1) (2) (3)| (4) (5)|(6)| (7) | (10) | (8) | (9) |(11)(12)(13|(14)(15)(16| (17)| (18) | MARKET| | | | SALES |GRS OPR NET| |ROA| ROE | PER | COP | CLOP |YoY GROWTH |Q4/Q3 GROWT| | LAST | CAP. | |NO|STOC|bio Rp |MAR PRF PRF| PBV DER| | |*LAST*| | | | OPR NET| OPR NET| PEG |PRICE |bio Rp | | | |mio USD| % % % | | | Q3 Q4|QUARTR|TDY Q4 Q3|TDY Q4 Q3|TDY Q4 Q3|SAL PRF PRF|SAL PRF PRF| | |mio Usd| |-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === ---****** --- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- --- === =====|======|=======| | 1 SSIA 2.878| 27 15 8| 4,3| 1,6| 8| 23 22|25 17|19| 13 6|10| 7 3|14| 11 7| 70 181|119| 12 27| 29| 0,16| 1.020| 4.799| | 2 LPCK 902| 43 33 28| 2,1| 1,4| 12| 27 31|53 4| 6| 4 5| 5| 4 4| 9| 8 8|123 168|294| 30 105|121| 0,02| 2.550| 1.774| | 3 CTRS 804| 49 28 20| 1,7| 1,1| 4| 12 9| 2 66|17| 8 8|12| 5 7|20| 13 12| 35 120| 88|-29 -44|-81| 0,20| 1.470| 2.908| | 4 ASRI 1.381| 58 50 43| 3,9| 1,1| 10| 21 21|27 14|18| 13 12|15| 11 10|20| 16 14| 74 108|107| 12 30| 50| 0,17| 610| 10.896| | 5 SMRA 2.359| 44 23 16| 4,7| 2,2| 4| 14 15|21 21|29| 21 19|20| 15 13|30| 25 23| 38 41| 67| 19 22| 30| 0,44| 1.700| 11.684| |-- ---- ------- === === === ==== ==== === === --- ====== -- -- -- === -- -- === -- -- --- --- === --- --- === =====|======|=======| 1. GRS MRG: Gross Margin to Sales (in %) 2. OPR PRF: Operating Profit to Sales (in %) 3. NET PRF: Net Profit to Sales (in %) 4. PBV: Stock Price to Book value 5. DER: Debt Equity Ratio 6. ROA: Return On Asset (in %) 7. ROE: Return On Equity (in %) QTR: ROE Quartely, using Most Recent Quarter's Net Profit 8. COP: Capitalisation to Operating Profit (in years) 9. CLOP: Capitalisation + Liability to Operating profit (in years) 10. PER: Price Earning Ratio QTR: PER using Most Recent Quarter's Net Profit 11. Sales Growth in % (Year on Year comparison) 12. Operating Profit Growth in % (YOY comparison) 13. Net Profit Growth in % - (YOY comparison) 14. Sales Growth in % - (Most Recent Quarter comparison) 15. Operating Profit Growth in % - (MRQ comparison) 16. Net Profit Growth in % - (MRQ comparison) 17. PEG = PER / Net Profit Growth
- http://www.investdata.net/QZB4PRO2.TXT
Note:
- PER LPCK paling murah = 6 vs PER SMRA paling mahal = 29
- PBV CTRS paling kecil = 1,7 VS PBV SSIA=4,3, ASRI=3,9, SMRA=4,7 tapi ROE CTRS paling kecil = 9%
- ASRI paling TOP dari segi Profit margin dan Growth
- Net profit margin SSIA paling kecil = 8% vs ASRI = 43%
Kalo PER sudah tinggi, tapi masih naik artinya PROYEKSI future EPS bagus...
PER = Price/EPS sekarang say = 40
Kalo Future EPS = 2x EPS sekarang maka:
- Future PER = Price / EPS future = Price / ( 2 x EPS sekarang)
= 1/2 x Price / EPS sekarang = 1/2 x 40 = 20
Jadi PER = 40 sama dengan PER = 20 tahun depan jika Laba naik 100%.
Jadi yang PALING PENTING kalo cari saham bagus adalah estimasi FUTURE GROWTHnya, jadi Investment = kemampuan melihat VISI KEDEPAN...
No comments:
Post a Comment